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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 47.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased rush volume.
  • In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is projected by the projections to accumulate the most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 9.1.
  • The predictive model expects Jalen Hurts to be much more involved in his team's running game in this week's contest (29.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (23.1% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have only 126.8 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.9 plays per game.
  • Jalen Hurts has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (43.0).
  • With a dreadful total of 4.5 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (21st percentile), Jalen Hurts stands as one of the bottom running QBs in the league this year.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 93.0 per game) vs. the Lions defense this year.

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