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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Hurts Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 43.4% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-most run-centric team in football has been the Eagles.

The Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 59.7 plays per game.

In this game, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the predictive model to accrue the 2nd-most carries out of all QBs with 8.7.

Accounting for 29.3% of his team's run game usage this year (95th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Jalen Hurts's mobility marks him as a dangerous weapon as a ball-carrier.

Jalen Hurts has averaged 36.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (82nd percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

The projections expect the Eagles to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.

With a lousy record of 4.1 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (19th percentile), Jalen Hurts has been as one of the worst rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.

The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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