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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 212.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 221.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 212.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Opposing offenses have passed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in football (264.0 per game) vs. the Commanders defense this year.
  • This year, the weak Commanders defense has surrendered the most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a massive 9.22 yards.
  • The Commanders safeties project as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.
  • The leading projections forecast Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.2 passes this week, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Jalen Hurts's passing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 68.3% to 65.2%.

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