Jalen Hurts Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Passing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 223.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 214.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 223.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Eagles this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
Jalen Hurts's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.9% to 69.1%.
This year, the feeble Jacksonville Jaguars defense has given up a colossal 287.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 2nd-most in football.

Favors Under

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The model projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 29.8 passes this week, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Jalen Hurts's 206.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies a remarkable regression in his throwing ability over last year's 231.0 rate.

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