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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 224.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 224.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The 7th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Eagles this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: most in football.
  • Jalen Hurts's passing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.9% to 69.0%.
  • Jalen Hurts ranks as one of the best per-play passers in football this year, averaging a stellar 7.91 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Eagles as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are predicted by the model to run just 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.4 passes in this week's game, on average: the 5th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • Jalen Hurts's 205.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a remarkable regression in his throwing prowess over last season's 231.0 rate.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest level in the NFL vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (68.7% Adjusted Completion%).

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