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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+107/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offensive strategy to skew 2.8% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.
  • The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The model projects this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Jalen Hurts to attempt 29.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.

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