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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Completions
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+116/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -147.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projections to call 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (38.2 per game) this year.
  • Jalen Hurts grades out as one of the most on-target QBs in the NFL this year with an exceptional 71.0% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 82nd percentile.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Denver's LB corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the 7th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Jalen Hurts to throw 30.7 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 3rd-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • This year, the stout Denver Broncos defense has conceded a puny 66.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 8th-smallest rate in football.

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