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Jalen Hurts Completions
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+108/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offensive strategy to skew 2.8% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) since the start of last season.

Jalen Hurts's throwing precision has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 68.3% to 74.0%.

Since the start of last season, the feeble Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered a staggering 72.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-largest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Jalen Hurts to attempt 29.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.

The Eagles offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.

More Jalen Hurts Player Props

Jalen Hurts CompletionsPlayer Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Hurts Completions
Player Prop Week 4