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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+108/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the projections to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the league versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (75.6% Adjusted Completion%).
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Chicago's group of CBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a massive 7-point favorite this week.
  • The model projects the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Eagles this year (a measly 54.3 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.9 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

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