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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Completions
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+116/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -149 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.
  • This year, the porous Dallas Cowboys defense has been torched for a staggering 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.
  • The Cowboys safeties profile as the 3rd-worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 126.1 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 54.3 per game on average).
  • The predictive model expects Jalen Hurts to attempt 31.6 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

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