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Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-130).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.Jalen Hurts checks in as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the league this year with a remarkable 69.8% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 84th percentile.This year, the deficient Green Bay Packers defense has yielded a massive 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the biggest rate in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).In this week's game, Jalen Hurts is projected by the projections to have the fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 31.3. As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the best in football.
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