Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+108/-140).
Key Factors
Favors Over
With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
The Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 59.7 plays per game.
Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.
The Bengals defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.6 per game) this year.
Jalen Hurts comes in as one of the most accurate passers in the league this year with an excellent 67.8% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 75th percentile.
Favors Under
With a 56.6% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the league has been the Philadelphia Eagles.
The projections expect the Eagles to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
In this week's game, Jalen Hurts is projected by the projections to average the 10th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.3.