Jalen Hurts Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Completions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 19, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2025 9:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles will be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the model to run 67.7 plays on offense in this contest: the highest number among all teams this week.
The Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
Jalen Hurts is positioned as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL this year with an outstanding 68.3% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 79th percentile.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Eagles to pass on 46.6% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is predicted by the projection model to total the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 28.9.
The Green Bay Packers safeties project as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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