Jalen Hurts Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Completions

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projection model to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
The 8th-most plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jalen Hurts's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.9% to 69.5%.
When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Dallas's group of safeties has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect Jalen Hurts to throw 30.7 passes in this contest, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

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