Jalen Hurts Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Completions

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in football (in a neutral context) against the Eagles defense this year, averaging 26.21 seconds per play.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Los Angeles's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 3.5-point favorite this week.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 55.9% of their downs: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Opposing teams teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 33.5 per game) this year.

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