Jalen Hurts Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 22

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Completions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 22, 2022

Updated Feb 12, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+288/-393).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +288.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Jalen Hurts's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Completion% jumping from 59.6% to 66.2%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 35.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
The Kansas City Chiefs safeties grade out as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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