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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

The projections expect the Eagles as the most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Eagles to run the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.5 plays per game.

In this contest, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the predictive model to accrue the most carries among all quarterbacks with 9.6.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia Eagles feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The Los Angeles Rams safeties project as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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