Jalen Hurts Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 12, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is implied by the Eagles being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 5th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 48.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run 67.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).
In this contest, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the predictive model to accumulate the 3rd-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 8.4.

Favors Under

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's DE corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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