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Jalen Guyton

Jalen Guyton Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Jalen Guyton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Easton Stick.
  • The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Chargers have been the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 64.5% pass rate.
  • Jalen Guyton has been used less as a potential target this year (60.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (13.8%).
  • The Broncos linebackers profile as the worst LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • With a subpar 45.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (9th percentile) this year, Jalen Guyton has been as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to wideouts.

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