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Jalen Guyton

Jalen Guyton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Jalen Guyton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Easton Stick.
  • The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Chargers have been the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 64.5% pass rate.
  • Jalen Guyton has been used less as a potential target this year (60.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (13.8%).
  • The Broncos pass defense has displayed weak efficiency versus wideouts this year, allowing 9.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • With a weak 14.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (22nd percentile) this year, Jalen Guyton ranks as one of the bottom WRs in the NFL in the league.
  • With a subpar 45.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (9th percentile) this year, Jalen Guyton has been as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to wideouts.
  • Jalen Guyton checks in as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a mere 4.41 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 12th percentile among WRs

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