Jalen Guyton Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Jalen Guyton

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Guyton

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Guyton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+435/-991).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -960 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -991.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 65.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (67.7%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (67.7%).
The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 5th-least TDs through the air in football to wide receivers: 0.71 per game since the start of last season.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to pass rush.

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