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Jalen Brooks

Jalen Brooks Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jalen Brooks Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-3000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1900 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3000.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • With a middling 0.0% Red Zone Target% (0th percentile) this year, Jalen Brooks stands among the WRs with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.
  • Jalen Brooks has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (30.0 per game).
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year.
  • Jalen Brooks comes in as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 42.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 10th percentile among wide receivers

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