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Jaleel McLaughlin

Jaleel McLaughlin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jaleel McLaughlin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1050/-1550).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1550.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-most pass-focused team in the league near the goal line (58.5% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Broncos.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 136.7 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a colossal 58.5 per game on average).
  • The New York Giants defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.7 per game) this year.
  • While Jaleel McLaughlin has accounted for 19.7% of his offense's red zone carries in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Denver's run game near the goal line in this game at 0.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Broncos are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Jaleel McLaughlin has put up a mere -6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 2nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The New York Giants defense has yielded the fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to running backs: 0.00 per game this year.
  • This year, the deficient New York Giants run defense has allowed a massive 1.17 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.

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