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Jaleel McLaughlin

Jaleel McLaughlin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Jaleel McLaughlin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+375/-450).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +475 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +375.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.5% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by our trusted projection set to call 67.3 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year.
  • With a remarkable 93.6% Adjusted Completion% (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaleel McLaughlin has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a massive 15.5-point favorite this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.1 per game) this year.
  • With a middling 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Jaleel McLaughlin ranks as one of the pass-catching RBs with the smallest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.
  • Jaleel McLaughlin has accrued a paltry -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • With an impressive rate of 0.11 per game through the air (79th percentile), Jaleel McLaughlin rates among the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among running backs since the start of last season.

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