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Jaleel McLaughlin

Jaleel McLaughlin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Jaleel McLaughlin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+420/-520).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +550 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +420.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 60.7% red zone pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to call the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Broncos have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.5 plays per game.
  • The Denver offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • With an excellent 93.6% Adjusted Catch% (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaleel McLaughlin stands among the best possession receivers in the league among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The projections expect the Broncos to be the 11th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • With a measly 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Jaleel McLaughlin stands among the pass-game running backs with the smallest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.
  • When it comes to air yards, Jaleel McLaughlin grades out in the measly 20th percentile among running backs this year, with just -2.0 per game.

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