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Jaleel McLaughlin

Jaleel McLaughlin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Jaleel McLaughlin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-400).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +350 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +290.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • With an exceptional 93.0% Adjusted Catch% (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaleel McLaughlin stands among the best possession receivers in the league among RBs.
  • With an impressive rate of 0.11 per game through the air (79th percentile), Jaleel McLaughlin stands among the best receiving TD-scorers in the NFL among running backs since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.
  • Jaleel McLaughlin has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which puts him in the 1st percentile among running backs.
  • Jaleel McLaughlin has compiled a mere -6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 2nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

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