Jaleel McLaughlin Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 21

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Jaleel McLaughlin

NFL · Player Props

Jaleel McLaughlin

RB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots · Week 21, 2025

Updated Jan 25, 2026 7:47 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaleel McLaughlin Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+102/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
While Jaleel McLaughlin has garnered 18.4% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Denver's running game this week at 29.3%.
With an impressive record of 4.95 adjusted yards per carry (86th percentile), Jaleel McLaughlin stands as one of the best running backs in the league this year.

Favors Under

The Broncos may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling with backup QB Jarrett Stidham.
The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 2nd-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Jaleel McLaughlin's 18.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a significant reduction in his rushing ability over last year's 30.0 rate.
Opposing offenses have run for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 87.0 per game) against the Patriots defense this year.

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