reorder

Jaleel McLaughlin Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Jaleel McLaughlin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling with backup QB Jarrett Stidham.

The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.2% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Patriots defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

Jaleel McLaughlin has gone out for fewer passes this season (9.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (23.4%).

Jaleel McLaughlin's receiving performance has tailed off this season, notching a mere 0.4 adjusted receptions compared to 1.5 last season.

Jaleel McLaughlin's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 96.5% to 80.0%.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's LB corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

More Jaleel McLaughlin Player Props

Jaleel McLaughlin ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Jaleel McLaughlin Receptions
Player Prop Week 21