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Jaleel McLaughlin

Jaleel McLaughlin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jaleel McLaughlin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+165/-225).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling with backup QB Jarrett Stidham.
  • The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.2% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Patriots defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Jaleel McLaughlin has gone out for fewer passes this season (9.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (23.4%).
  • Jaleel McLaughlin has notched a paltry -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 22nd percentile among running backs.
  • With a lackluster 3.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (18th percentile) this year, Jaleel McLaughlin stands as one of the weakest pass-catching RBs in the league.
  • Jaleel McLaughlin's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 96.5% to 80.0%.

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