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Jaleel McLaughlin

Jaleel McLaughlin Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jaleel McLaughlin Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 66.2 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a monstrous 59.5 per game on average).
  • Jaleel McLaughlin has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this season, playing on just 12.2% of snaps vs 25.6% last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Denver Broncos to run on 38.2% of their plays: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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