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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-270).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -270.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • Jakobi Meyers has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 23.1% this year, which puts him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Jakobi Meyers's 56.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 84th percentile for WRs.
  • The Jaguars defense has conceded the 3rd-most touchdowns through the air in the league to wideouts: 1.43 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.1% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football has been the Raiders.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.1 plays per game.
  • Jakobi Meyers has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (69.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).
  • The receiving touchdown column reads "0" on Jakobi Meyers's box scores this year.

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