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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-240).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +280 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -12-point disadvantage, the Raiders are massive underdogs this week, indicating much more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • With a remarkable 23.1% Red Zone Target Share (88th percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers stands among the WRs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.
  • Jakobi Meyers has been in the 83rd percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) with an impressive 56.3 figure this year.
  • This year, the poor Chiefs defense has surrendered a monstrous 75.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Raiders to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.
  • Jakobi Meyers has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (69.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).
  • Jakobi Meyers grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.
  • This year, the poor Kansas City Chiefs run defense has been gouged for a massive 1.00 rushing touchdowns per game to the opposing side: the 9th-biggest rate in football.

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