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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-225).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +205 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).
  • With an exceptional 69.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (76th percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers places as one of the best possession receivers in football among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.3 per game) this year.
  • The Jaguars are willing to include receivers in their run game, and Jakobi Meyers has received 2.6% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th when it comes to WRs).
  • After totaling 82.0 air yards per game last year, Jakobi Meyers has produced significantly less this year, currently pacing 65.0 per game.
  • Jakobi Meyers's 52.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 61.2.

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