Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Touchdowns

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 1:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+152/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +146 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-most in football.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Indianapolis's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

Favors Under

With a 4-point advantage, the Jaguars are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Jaguars are willing to include receivers in their run game, and Jakobi Meyers has been given 2.8% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th when it comes to wideouts).
After averaging 82.0 air yards per game last season, Jakobi Meyers has seen a big downtick this season, now averaging 64.0 per game.
Jakobi Meyers's 53.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 61.2.

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