Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Touchdowns

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 14, 2025

Updated Dec 8, 2025 1:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -245 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -240.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 59.9 plays per game.
The Colts defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
With an impressive 19.2% Red Zone Target Share (80th percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers stands as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.
Jakobi Meyers's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 68.4% to 73.7%.
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's unit has been very bad this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 47.8% red zone run rate.
The predictive model expects the Jaguars to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Jakobi Meyers has notched quite a few less air yards this season (58.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).
Jakobi Meyers's 51.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 61.2.

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