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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -245 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -240.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 59.9 plays per game.
  • The Colts defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
  • With an impressive 19.2% Red Zone Target Share (80th percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers stands as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.
  • Jakobi Meyers's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 68.4% to 73.7%.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Indianapolis's unit has been very bad this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 47.8% red zone run rate.
  • The predictive model expects the Jaguars to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Jakobi Meyers has notched quite a few less air yards this season (58.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).
  • Jakobi Meyers's 51.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 61.2.

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