Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Touchdowns

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 13, 2025

Updated Nov 30, 2025 9:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-385).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -260 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -385.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
Jakobi Meyers has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 18.4% this year, which puts him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Jakobi Meyers's 71.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a substantial growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 68.4% mark.
This year, the weak Titans pass defense has been torched for a whopping 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the worst rate in the NFL.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a 6-point favorite in this week's contest.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Right now, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (47.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Jaguars.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Titans defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.

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