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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-275).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +260 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +265.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
  • The Los Angeles defensive tackles grade out as the best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Jaguars to be the 10th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 45.7% red zone run rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.4 per game) this year.
  • After accumulating 82.0 air yards per game last season, Jakobi Meyers has produced significantly fewer this season, now boasting 58.0 per game.

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