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Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-375).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -370 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -375.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

With a high 17.6% Red Zone Target Rate (75th percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers ranks as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jaguars have been the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 51.5% red zone run rate.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jakobi Meyers has posted far fewer air yards this year (62.0 per game) than he did last year (82.0 per game).

Jakobi Meyers's 52.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 61.2.

This year, Jakobi Meyers has not caught any receiving touchdowns this year.

More Jakobi Meyers Player Props

Jakobi Meyers TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Jakobi Meyers Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10