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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the league (63.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a colossal 58.9 per game on average).
  • In this game, Jakobi Meyers is expected by the projection model to finish in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.7 targets.
  • With an exceptional 69.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (76th percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers places as one of the best possession receivers in football among wide receivers.
  • When it comes to safeties getting after the quarterback, Buffalo's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.3 per game) this year.
  • Jakobi Meyers's 52.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 61.2.
  • Jakobi Meyers's 4.1 adjusted receptions per game this year represents an impressive decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 5.7 mark.

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