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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars offensive scheme to lean 2.7% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with head coach Liam Coen now calling the plays.
  • The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jaguars this year (a staggering 59.4 per game on average).
  • The predictive model expects Jakobi Meyers to accrue 7.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • The Titans pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.4%) vs. wideouts this year (71.4%).
  • The Tennessee cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is suggested by the Jaguars being a massive 13-point favorite in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to chug along at the 11th-most sluggish tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.81 seconds per play accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Titans, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.8 per game) this year.
  • Jakobi Meyers's 53.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 61.2.

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