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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
  • In this week's contest, Jakobi Meyers is predicted by the predictive model to position himself in the 81st percentile among WRs with 7.1 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chargers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.4 per game) this year.
  • Jakobi Meyers's 51.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 61.2.
  • Jakobi Meyers's 4.0 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a noteable diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 5.7 rate.

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