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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +127 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Jaguars have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Jakobi Meyers to be a less important option in his team's pass game in this week's game (15.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (22.4% in games he has played).
  • Jakobi Meyers's 3.6 adjusted receptions per game this season conveys a remarkable decrease in his receiving ability over last season's 5.7 figure.
  • The Texans pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (55.9%) to wideouts this year (55.9%).
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Houston's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the league.

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