Jakobi Meyers Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Raiders being an enormous -14-point underdog in this week's contest.
Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 91.3% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
In this game, Jakobi Meyers is expected by the model to position himself in the 79th percentile among wide receivers with 7.1 targets.
The Raiders O-line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Jakobi Meyers comes in as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a stellar 4.7 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (55.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.8 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Raiders have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.6 plays per game.
Jakobi Meyers's 65.5% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 72.6% rate.
As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Miami's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

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