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Jakobi Meyers

Jakobi Meyers Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Jakobi Meyers Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to notch 8.1 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among WRs.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Jakobi Meyers has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.2 receptions per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.
  • Jakobi Meyers's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 69.1% to 74.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to be much less involved in his offense's passing game this week (26.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (32.5% in games he has played).

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