Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 22, 2025 12:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 59.8% of their chances: the 9th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in football.
The model projects Jakobi Meyers to garner 8.5 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

After accumulating 82.0 air yards per game last year, Jakobi Meyers has fallen off this year, currently boasting 63.0 per game.
Jakobi Meyers's 53.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 61.2.
Jakobi Meyers's 47.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents a material reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 71.0 mark.
Jakobi Meyers's skills in picking up extra yardage have diminished this year, accumulating a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.13 rate last year.
The Broncos pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.8%) to WRs this year (62.8%).

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