Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jakobi Meyers

NFL · Player Props

Jakobi Meyers

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets · Week 15, 2025

Updated Dec 15, 2025 12:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 135.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Jaguars have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 59.5 plays per game.
In this contest, Jakobi Meyers is expected by the predictive model to land in the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.5 targets.
With an impressive 70.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (76th percentile) this year, Jakobi Meyers stands as one of the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to wideouts.
The Jets linebackers rank as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

With a 13.5-point advantage, the Jaguars are a heavy favorite this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the New York Jets, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.4 per game) this year.
Jakobi Meyers has posted far fewer air yards this season (60.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).

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