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Jake Tonges Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs San Francisco 49ers

Jake Tonges Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1200/-3100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1200 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to utilize backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers as the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to call the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a whopping 63.7 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (46.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the San Francisco 49ers.

While Jake Tonges has garnered 12.5% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller part of San Francisco's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game at 1.4%.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the 49ers profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in the league against the Houston Texans defense this year (65.5% Adjusted Completion%).

The Texans defense has given up the 3rd-fewest receiving TDs in the league to TEs: 0.17 per game this year.

More Jake Tonges Player Props

Jake Tonges TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs San Francisco 49ers

Jake Tonges Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8