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Jake Tonges Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

Jake Tonges Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+880/-920).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -840 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -920.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to use backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.

After accruing 0.0 air yards per game last season, Jake Tonges has made big progress this season, now boasting 27.0 per game.

Jake Tonges's 28.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 0.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 10th-most run-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 45.6% red zone run rate.

Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in football.

The predictive model expects Jake Tonges to be a less important option in his team's passing game near the goal line in this week's contest (3.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (12.9% in games he has played).

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-highest clip in the NFL versus the Falcons defense since the start of last season (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).

More Jake Tonges Player Props

Jake Tonges TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

Jake Tonges Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7