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Jake Tonges

Jake Tonges Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Jake Tonges Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to use backup QB Mac Jones in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • With a 63.5% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused team in the NFL has been the San Francisco 49ers.
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.2 plays per game.
  • After accruing 0.0 air yards per game last season, Jake Tonges has made big progress this season, now boasting 27.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in football.
  • The projections expect Jake Tonges to be a less important option in his offense's pass game in this week's contest (3.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.5% in games he has played).
  • With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Jake Tonges places among the best pass-game tight ends in the league in space.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 26.0) vs. tight ends this year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Atlanta's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 7th-best in the NFL.

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