My Account Log Out
 
 
Jake Tonges

Jake Tonges Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jake Tonges Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The San Francisco 49ers will be rolling out backup QB Mac Jones this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the 49ers to pass on 62.2% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jake Tonges checks in as one of the weakest tight ends in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 2nd percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.5%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (73.5%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™